Russia’s Powerful Northern Fleet Squadron to Sail South (Anyone Heard of this?)
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Russia’s Powerful Northern Fleet Squadron to Sail South (Anyone Heard of this?)  
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1.  Sharvol  
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 Mais opções 1 maio 2000, 04:00
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De: shar...@aol.combotbegon (Sharvol)
Data: 2000/05/01
Assunto: Russia’s Powerful Northern Fleet Squadron to Sail South (Anyone Heard of this?)
http://www.truthinmedia.org/Bulletins2000/tim2000-4-8.html

Russia’s Powerful Northern Fleet Squadron to Sail South

Military Expert: “Serbia Heroically Did Its Part; Now It’s Time for Bigger
Guns”

MOSCOW, Apr. 29 - Russia’s Northern Fleet is ready to sail south and be
deployed in the Mediterranean Sea, a Russian military expert who occasionally
advises TiM on military affairs has just reported in his latest missive to TiM.

Vice-Admiral Mikheev, the Chief of Department of Combat Readiness of the
Russian Navy, announced Thursday (Apr. 28) a complete readiness of the Squadron
of the Russian Red Banner Northern Fleet for departure to Mediterranean Sea
shortly, according to the latest (Apr. 28) issue of Nezavisimoe Voennoe
Obozrenie (Independent Military Review - www.ng.nvo.ru).  Here some excerpts
from our correspondent’s message:

“Furthermore, the admiral gave a full list of the ships complement of a
squadron leaving on patrol, as we all may understand, mostly for Yugoslavia’s
causes. Here it is:

1. Heavy Aircraft Carrying Cruiser (TAVKR) "Admiral Kuznetsov";

2. Heavy Nuclear Missile Cruiser (RKR) "PeterThe Great";

3. Heavy Missile Cruiser "Marshal Ustinov";

4. Large Anti-Submarine Ship (BPK) "Admiral Chabanenko";

5. Large Anti-Submarine Ship "Admiral Kharlamov"

6. 5 (FIVE) !!!!! multipurpose nuclear submarines

7. Host of other ships of support and intelligence nature.

By Mikheev’s own words, the firepower of this squadron is several orders of
magnitude superior to that of the 5th Operational Squadron which was marking
its presence in the Med. during 1970s and 1980s.  

In addition, for the first time in her history, Russia places in the
Mediterranean a naval might of unprecedented scale and power. Geopolitcal
implications of that are enormous.  To be frank, Russia went for a "full monty"
in this game around Yugoslavia.  And here’s why:

1. This Squadron is not the only one thing which deployes into Med. Recently (a
month ago) completed massive exercises of Russian strategic air armies based on
Engels (Southern Volga region), as well as a completion of full upgrade of the
vast arsenal of Russian strategic airborne cruise missiles X-55 to the level of
SMART munitions (now those X-55 are at least equal, in some superior to latest
US Tomahawk updates), and placing them at disposal of newly formed units of
Russian Strategic Air arm, including 16 newest TU-160 Black Jack Strategic
Bombers, marks a dramatic reorientation of Russian geopolitical focus towards
Southern flank.  And all this is thanks to Serbia, of course.

Apart from the gigantic squadron operating now in Med. (read: in defense of
Yugoslavia), those strategic air armies are now completely capable of launching
of SMART strategic long-range munitions (with ranges exceeding 2000 nautical
miles) from Black Sea area into Med., with the objective of surgical
annihilation of NATO's naval assets there.

2. Complement of the Russian Squadron sent into Med. is stunning in all
respects. Now Russia will have around 35 strike aircraft (and mind you--these
are not wimpy F-18s, however numerable). The SU-33 Naval Flankers are
undeniably best strike and dog-fighting aircraft in the history of the world
air carriers.

This plane, apart from featuring flying characteristics unknown to US aircraft,
including its unrivaled range on the internal fuel, features also the array of
weaponry which varies from state-of-the-art AA missiles to the unprecedented
choice of long-range, standoff anti-ship missiles, including air version of
already known to us Moskit--all of them capable to break through US Navy's
Aegis umbrella.

Plus Russia gets on the order of 25 ASW helicopters also in the area. Apart
from that--air defense capabilities of this whole squadron are also
unprecedented since AD systems of "Peter The Great" as well as "Marshal
Ustinov" feature multilayered, long, medium, short range, low altitude
surveillance "pie" and firepower capable of dealing even with massive air
attack including multiple launches from NATO's ships and aircraft of their
standoff weapons (as it is clear--any attempt to even close on such group to a
distance of about 400 nautical miles is suicidal), which, as we know, come down
to the same Tomahawks--slow and easily tracked over sea surface targets.

We already spoke about what "Admiral Kuznetsov" (and of course US naval
"specialists" will talk how inferior this ship will be to any US naval carrier
task group) and "Peter The Great" are in the whole order of things--such
"couple" alone can deal with any asset US navy will put against it.

But that is beyond the point--let Tom Clancy’s of the NWO media write their
fantasies. Take a look at "Admiral Chabanenko". All ships in this grouping are
NEW (less than 10 years old). Admiral Chabanenko is brand-new, commissioned in
January 1999. By the words of Admiral Kuroedov, it is "the ship of the 21st
century". This is true. "Admiral Chabanenko" IS the world's most powerfully
armed and equipped ship (although does not carry Tomahawk-type ammo as US
Arleigh Burke-class destroyers) which boasts best in the world anti-ship and
ASW capabilities for its class--ships with a displacement up to 9000 tons.

She also features advanced, with elements of artificial intellect combat
control systems, which are in some respects even superior to anyway awesome
data-processing capabilities of other warships in this group, but these are
some technical details.

3. But the main stunner is yet to come. I was, honestly, awestruck despite all
my Russian naval considerable experience, that Mikheev openly announced the
deployment of multipurpose nuclear submarines. Most stunning, Mikheev
underscored that there will be five of those and that they will be newest ones.

This is more than just an announcement.  This is a warning. For the last three
decades, the US naval undersea force was clinging to a single alleged advantage
they had in their sub - a lower levels of noise, the parameter which can not
and must not be viewed separately, but only within the framework of the overall
tactical-technical parameters of a weapon's system.

But as we know conventional military academic wisdoms do not apply in Pentagon
and Tom Clancy's realm. As a result, not only did by mid-1980s the Russian
nuclear subs close the gap in noise levels with the best of US undersea assets,
but apart from doing this, they armed their nuclear subs with array of weaponry
which surpasses anything in US arsenal about by 15-20 years.

To name a single example (recently, a US "businessman" was detained in Russia
by FSB exactly on this subject - TiM Ed.: See the next story), each Russian
nuclear sub (and now diesels too) is armed with the thing known as Shkval. The
first modification of this rocket-torpedo was delivered to the Soviet navy
already in early 1980s. This is a unique weapon, whose rocket travels UNDER
WATER with the speed of about 200 Knots (!!!!) over a distance of 12+ nautical
miles.  

This makes any "fairy tales" about torpedo shootouts with Russian subs merely
"fairy tales". There is no protection against Shkval.  It is completely immune
from any jamming, its precision is awesome; overall, it is a super weapon.

But there are many of those on Russian subs. Now five of them go to Med. Why?
To do the same as they always did--to look out for US aircraft carrier task
groups and their escorts and if necessary to apply some of those weapons,
including cruise missiles of an Oscar-class subs whose single salvo of 12-16
missiles in conventional mode is capable to obliterate whole carrier task group
of any size. There will be, obviously 2-3 of those Oscars, and 2-3 Akula-class
subs, which also armed with Strategic Cruise Missile Sampson with underwater
start. Sampson is better and longer-range peer of US Tomahawk.

Now that we are finished with all this light “ techno” intro, let’s look
at strategic implications.

Russia moves into Med at least 10 ships of the First Rank, at least six of them
nuclear powered. Five of them are nuclear submarines. All of those 10 ships are
capable of carrying tactical and strategic nuclear weapons. Tonnage of the
whole thing is around 250 000 tons. That’s a naval missile power
unprecedented for this area, even during worst times of Cold War.

Apart from that, around 16 newest TU-160 Black Jacks and around 60 updated
TU-95 Bears will stay on alert with long and medium range SMART munitions
hidden in their bellies, ready to work "on call" for this squadron.

In other words, a remaking of the world’s geopolitical map is beginning.
Remarkably, NOT A SINGLE person in Russia hides the fact that all this because
of Yugoslavia.  

I am starting to believ, that even Serbs themselves, let alone all western
politicians or the media, deeply underestimated the strength of the Russian
pro-Serb sentiment, as well as the changing political dynamics in Russia after
NATO's aggression.  But this is very much within the framework of the Russian
national character: Slowly, covertly, accumulating steadily and naggingly,
visceral anger begins to manifest itself only when the patience runs out. It
usually takes a lot of time, but it is also usually very deadly. Genghis-Khan,
Napoleon and Hitler experienced that first-hand. […]

The fact is also that India and China, one, the largest democracy in the world,
the other the most populous country in the world, not only ask, but demand from
Russia immediate leadership in global affairs.  If in doubt, just review
India's or China's press.

In summary, this Med. deployment is about historic responsibilities of the
Russian nation. Serbia heroically fulfilled her enormous task.  Now it’s time
for bigger guns to enter the scene.  The rest of it - “human rights,”
“democracy,” “morality”… and other NWO excuses for attacking Serbia
were buried in Kosovo's ground one year ago.  Now they are nothing more than
idle rhetoric for
...

mais »


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2.  me  
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 Mais opções 1 maio 2000, 04:00
Grupos de notícias: sci.military.naval
De: "me" <pa...@teleport.com.JUNKnospam>
Data: 2000/05/01
Assunto: Re: Russia’s Powerful Northern Fleet Squadron to Sail South (Anyone Heard of this?)

Sharvol wrote in message <20000501020232.23653.00000...@ng-ce1.aol.com>...
>http://www.truthinmedia.org/Bulletins2000/tim2000-4-8.html

>Russia’s Powerful Northern Fleet Squadron to Sail South

Call when you run out of water.....

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Ba**lesh*p G*ns  
1.  damarkley  
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 Mais opções 1 maio 2000, 04:00
Grupos de notícias: sci.military.naval
De: damark...@my-deja.com
Data: 2000/05/01
Assunto: Re: Ba**lesh*p G*ns
In article <390b0d18.18155...@news1.mweb.co.za>,

That paper bag isn't going to stop Andrew Toppan from getting you......

Dean

--
I speak only for myself.......

Sent via Deja.com http://www.deja.com/
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Former Pug 'Kid Odell' Reflects On Navy Career: by Rudi Williams American Forces Press Service  
1.  The Amer War Lib'y  
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De: The Amer War Lib'y <militaryinte...@pacbell.net>
Data: 2000/05/01
Assunto: Former Pug 'Kid Odell' Reflects On Navy Career: by Rudi Williams American Forces Press Service
Former Pug 'Kid Odell' Reflects On Navy Career: by Rudi Williams
American Forces Press Service

(EXCERPT) WASHINGTON, May 1, 2000 -- Former boxer and trainer Odell
Williams was a realistic young man. “Kid Odell” knew he would never
win many bouts, much less be a contender for the welterweight title.

Other than the fight game, "Kid Odell" said he was like a lot of young
people in Depression-era 1936, "just out there not knowing what to do
with themselves." He made his amateur boxing debut at 14 and had won
only nine professional fights when he quit at age 23.

"I tried hard, but I wasn’t good enough," said Williams, an
87-year-old resident of the Naval Home in Gulfport, Miss. "I joined
the Navy after I discovered I’d just be an average fighter, maybe end
up being punch drunk." He opted for another living -- in the U.S.
Navy.

Williams became interested in becoming a sailor at an exposition in
San Diego when he saw three petty officers, two African Americans and
one white, decked out in crisp Navy uniforms with gold chevrons, "hash
marks" and buttons. He was mesmerized by their appearance and wanted
to be just like them.

"I asked them about the Navy, and they said, 'You can't get into the
Navy now; you can't be like us,” Williams said. But he was so
intrigued by them that he ignored their discouraging comments and
started searching for ways to get into the Navy. The young pugilist
didn't understand racism -- he'd grown up in a Los Angeles
neighborhood where his was one of only two African American families,
but everybody got along well and looked out for each other.

"Everybody went to school and played together -- Italian, Jewish,
whites and blacks," he noted. "If you were out on the streets after
nine o’clock, an adult would want to know why you were out there that
time of night."

Williams was told the Navy only accepted African Americans for its
steward service. That didn’t deter him. He joined the Navy on May_7,
1936, as one of 12 African Americans from the Los Angeles area
selected for an integrated boot camp training program.

“It was an experiment, trying to get blacks back into Navy jobs other
than servitude positions -- cooks, stewards and shining officers'
shoes and brass,” he said. “A lot of people were not aware of this
because the Navy was very secretive about it. It was too explosive to
go public at the time.”

Williams’ bout with integration in the Navy was short- lived. After
boot camp, he and the other African Americans went aboard the
battleship USS Texas and headed for Unit K- West U.S. Naval Training
Station, Naval Operating Base, Norfolk, Va. -- for training as cooks
and stewards.

"That’s when we were introduced to segregation," Williams said.

Before retiring with more than 20 years' service, Williams served with
Fighting Squadron Six aboard the carrier USS Enterprise; the oiler USS
Salamonie; general stores issue ship USS Acubens; the former ocean
liner President Jefferson, renamed the attack transport USS Henry T.
Allen; attack transport USS Noble; cruiser USS Des Moines; and at
Naval Operating Base Argentia, Newfoundland, Canada.

A world war and a manpower shortage during World War II forced the
Navy to change it ways and accept African Americans in general
service, the Marine Corps and Coast Guard on April 7, 1942. Williams
credits President and Mrs. Franklin D. Roosevelt and educator Mary
McLeod Bethune with spearheading the changes.

During World War II, Williams was a steward aboard the USS Enterprise,
which he calls one of the greatest ships in the Navy at that time.
When fighting erupted, he said, his battle station was “pyrotechnic
engineer" -- "fuzing bombs and making smoke."

"The only other thing I did was work as a storekeeper," he said. "They
forgot about you being a steward in those days." The only thing that
mattered, he said, was whether you could do the job -- whatever was
needed at the time.

Williams still treasures his service aboard the Enterprise as his best
career memories. “I’ll never forget how the guys cooperated -- no
color line or any of that stuff,” he said. “You went to your battle
station, no matter what your special duties were. Discipline was
hard.”

He said he’ll also never forget what happened when he went aboard the
heavy cruiser USS Des Moines in 1950 as a young chief petty officer.
That’s a bad memory.

When he reported aboard, his belongings were supposed to be taken to
the chief’s quarters, but he found them in a passageway. Williams
rushed back to the quarterdeck and asked the messenger, “Sailor, where
did you put my gear?”

“In the chief’s quarters,” the messenger answered.

Bypassing the officer of the deck, Williams complained to the
executive officer, who told him, “We’re not having any trouble on this
ship, so we’re going to give you a billet in officer’s country.”

“I told him, 'I’m not an officer,' and asked to see the commanding
officer,” Williams said. "The captain called all the chiefs together
and asked, 'Who set Chief Williams’ gear out in the passageway?'

"A chief bosun's mate from South Carolina yelled, 'I did, cap'n. I
haven’t slept with them all these years and I’m not going to sleep
with them now.'

“No one else said anything,” Williams recalled. “The captain told the
chief, ‘You take your gear and go down to the first class quarters.’"

Later, the chief made the mistake of picking a fight with the former
pugilist.

“I did a pretty good job on him,” Williams said. “He told everybody he
fell down a hatch. About a month later, he came to talk to me and
turned out to be my best friend. He said he thought all black people
didn’t do a damn thing in South Carolina but get drunk on Saturdays.
That was the impression he had of me.

“Not all of the white people were bad. There were a lot of good people
in the Navy, but a lot of them wanted to hold that tradition they had
years ago -- whites only,” he said.

"My father-in-law was Caucasian and his grandfather owned slaves in
Georgia,” said Williams, who hasn't seen his wife for nearly 20 years
and doesn’t have any children. "He treated me better than my own
father. Sometimes you meet good people, no matter what their
background."

Williams said he was involved in many battles, including the Battle of
Midway aboard the Enterprise, but the only time he was wounded was
when enemy rounds slammed into the USS Salamonie. He suffered shrapnel
wounds, but refused treatment because “there were people laying on the
deck.”

“I didn’t get a Purple Heart because I didn’t ask for one - - the
medal didn’t matter to me,” he noted.

Williams is incensed about the way World War II veterans were treated.
He doesn’t think they've ever received the credit they deserve.

"It bothers me to hear people going ape about the Korean War, Vietnam
War and Desert Storm," he said. "If it hadn’t been for the guys in
World War II, they wouldn’t have been around for Korea, Vietnam or
Desert Storm. We made it possible for them.

"Why are they just beginning to recognize the guys who fought in World
War II?" he asked. "Hell, most of them are dead. I’m 87 years old. I
don’t need their help anymore."

In nearly the same breath, Williams said, "This country has its
drawbacks, but it’s the greatest country in the world."

After retiring from the Navy in January 1956, Williams spent about
five years in special security for the Los Angeles Water and Power
Department before getting into the entertainment business as a master
of ceremonies, singer and piano player.

Years later, he got into trouble with the Internal Revenue Service and
decided to seek shelter at the Naval Home. One of the first questions
he asked when he inquired about his eligibility was: “Is the home
segregated?”

“No, it isn’t,” the woman on the telephone answered.

“How many nonwhites do you have living there?” Williams asked.

“Four,” the woman said.

Williams could hardly believe that. He accepted the woman's invitation
to visit and assess the home in person. He liked what he saw and
became a resident in August 1993. Even today, only five of the more
than 440 residents of the home are African American.

Though retirees from all services are eligible to live at the home,
the residents are mostly sailors and Marines, Williams noted. For that
reason, he surmises that most of the residents are from World War II
and the Korean War, and there weren't many blacks in the Navy in those
days.

He also said speculated that many African Americans might not want to
live in Mississippi, but he said major changes in race relations have
occurred there in past years. For example, Williams takes pride in
being invited to schools to talk to students about his military and
life experiences. He's particularly proud because the majority of the
students he speaks to are white, and he treasures the many letters of
thanks they write to him.

He said he's proud because, "Back then, it was unheard of for a black
man to go into a school and talk to white kids.

"When I’m invited to talk to kids, I stress discipline and ask them to
define it for me to get them involved," Williams said. "I talk about
self-esteem and tell them if you don’t think something of yourself,
who is going to think anything of you? I talk about objectives,
cooperation and how to get along with people and be responsible. And I
tell them they should respect others as you respect yourself and
forget racism. And forget peer pressure; if you have an idea, speak up
about it."

He tells the kids and anybody else who will listen: “The Navy and I
grew up together and learned to respect each other.”

His impression of living at the retirement home is: "This is like
heaven for me," Williams said.

Brooke Rowe, Correspondent
Naval Service Discussion/News Forum
   http://members.aol.com/warlibrary/share.htm
Active/Former Military Personnel Registry Application
...

mais »


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A roiling debate over size of US sub fleet  
1.  The Amer War Lib'y  
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De: The Amer War Lib'y <militaryinte...@pacbell.net>
Data: 2000/05/01
Assunto: A roiling debate over size of US sub fleet
A roiling debate over size of US sub fleet

(EXCERPT) Push for more submarines raises questions about cost - and
the military's role in a post-cold-war era.

Justin Brown Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor

Few weapons better illustrate the challenges now facing the US
military than the Navy's attack submarines.

Stealthy, heavily armed, and expensive, they once patrolled the seas
searching for Soviet ballistic-missile launchers, ready to strike in
the event of a nuclear showdown.

Today, 100 years after the Navy purchased its first underwater craft,
submarines face a reversal of fortune: They ar...

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U-571: an America Travesty  
1.  William Donzelli  
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 Mais opções 1 maio 2000, 04:00
Grupos de notícias: sci.military.naval
De: William Donzelli <aw...@my-deja.com>
Data: 2000/05/01
Assunto: Re: U-571: an America Travesty
In article <sK%N4.1195$fT4.137...@news.dircon.co.uk>,
  "smokey" <smoke...@hotmail.com> wrote:

> Perhaps we should make a film about the British invention of Radar,

Radar was _not_ invented by the British. It is generally acknowledged
that it is an example of "spontaneous invention" by most of the major
powers at the time (US, UK, Germany, Japan).

William Donzelli

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2.  Peter Skelton  
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 Mais opções 1 maio 2000, 04:00
Grupos de notícias: sci.military.naval
De: skelt...@home.com (Peter Skelton)
Data: 2000/05/01
Assunto: Re: U-571: an America Travesty

Perhaps you might indulge yourself in reading what I actually wrote. VInce
has, as is his wont, taken certain interpretations and argued against them.
It happens quite often and is decent mental exercise fior both of us.

(The point you raise above is one I made explicitly.)

>Reality is, if you take most commercial corn seen and plant the second
>generation seed, you get a drastically reduced yield.  Because often the
>plants are heterozygous hybrids that don't breed true.  So lets say "yield"
>is deduceable to merely one gene.  The highest yield is for genes that are
>heterozygous, that is, Aa, as opposed to homozygous dominant (AA) or
>homozygous (aa).  So, our first generation is all "Aa".  We take the seed
>produced from the new plants, and fertilize then, and next season what we
>get is 25% AA, 50% Aa, and 25% aa, and what we see is a drop in yield.  And
>of course, the situation is much, much more complex than this for something
>even as simple as starch content in kernels.

So what you're doing now is defining a better way of using a breeding
program to get your trait.

>For something as complex as intelligence, its ludicrous to assert that it
>can be breeded for given our current understanding of the human genome, and
>"intelligence" in general.

What I've argued is that it is something that can be bred  ("breeded") for.
I've stated that we don't know how, for the sort of reason you're going
into.

One thing I'll point out is that practice generally is ahead of theory. The
steam engine preceded thermodynamics, we had antibiotics before we knew how
or why they worked. (Not always true - pasteurization)

>Statistically, you'd be just as likely to get intelligent offspring by
>breeding two dumb people together as breeding two smart people together,
>assuming all environmental factors (early developmental nutrition, early
>stimulation, access to education later) are equal.  And in optimized
>breeding, that may be what you would have to do to get consistent geniuses.

What you're doing is suggesting that a different type of breeding program
might be the one that worked. As all I'm arguing is:

A) intelligence is at least partly physical

B) physical characteristics depend, to some extent on heredity

C) it is possible to construct breeding programs to improve inherited
characteristics (I haven't commented on diminishing returns, but there
obviously is some sort of limit. Man will not run the ten second mile.)

D) a breeding program to improve intelligence is therefore possible

E) we haven't any idea how to go about making such a program (I tossed in
some shots about possible negative consequences.)

Thanks for the support.
--
Peter Skelton


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3.  firelaw  
Ver perfil   Traduzir para Traduzido (ver original)
 Mais opções 1 maio 2000, 04:00
Grupos de notícias: sci.military.naval
De: firelaw <fire...@pressroom.com>
Data: 2000/05/01
Assunto: Re: U-571: an America Travesty

Peter Skelton wrote:

" as opposed to nebulous and ill-defined "traits" as

> >"intelligence".

> Perhaps you might indulge yourself in reading what I actually wrote. VInce
> has, as is his wont, taken certain interpretations and argued against them.
> It happens quite often and is decent mental exercise fior both of us.
> (The point you raise above is one I made explicitly.)

do you agree that Intelligence is a "nebulous and ill defined trait"? Or is it
still a "physical attribute" ?

> >Reality is, if you take most commercial corn seen and plant the second
> >generation seed, you get a drastically reduced yield.  Because often the
> >plants are heterozygous hybrids that don't breed true.  So lets say "yield"
> >is deduceable to merely one gene.  The highest yield is for genes that are
> >heterozygous, that is, Aa, as opposed to homozygous dominant (AA) or
> >homozygous (aa).  So, our first generation is all "Aa".  We take the seed
> >produced from the new plants, and fertilize then, and next season what we
> >get is 25% AA, 50% Aa, and 25% aa, and what we see is a drop in yield.  And
> >of course, the situation is much, much more complex than this for something
> >even as simple as starch content in kernels.

> So what you're doing now is defining a better way of using a breeding
> program to get your trait.

no, he is not.  He is saying that what you are suggesting cannot be done for
complex traits such as intelligence.

> >For something as complex as intelligence, its ludicrous to assert that it
> >can be breeded for given our current understanding of the human genome, and
> >"intelligence" in general.

> What I've argued is that it is something that can be bred  ("breeded") for.

You have argued it, you simply don't understand the preconditions necessary for
breeding an inheritable trait.

> I've stated that we don't know how, for the sort of reason you're going
> into.

No, we don't know whether it can be done.

> One thing I'll point out is that practice generally is ahead of theory. The
> steam engine preceded thermodynamics, we had antibiotics before we knew how
> or why they worked. (Not always true - pasteurization)

This is a different issue.  I just gave a presentation in Berlin on the
Scientification of Empirical knowledge.   There are many cause effect
relationships which we know to be "true" empirically, even if we don't know how
they work scientifically.  We "act", and subsequently "effects" appear.  Now, did
our acts cause the effects?  Would different acts cause different effects?
Austin Bradford hill set a series of criteria for attempting to infer causality
from correlation. they are a crude first step

Now the connection to this debate is the series of steps needed to claim that you
could breed for intelligence.
now to breed for "intelligence" there must be a heritable genetic marker for
intelligence.  Until we identify such a marker, we have know way of knowing
whether it exists. All differences in intelligence may be environmental.  It does
no good at all to simply claim that a marker for intelligence must  exist, but
has not yet been discovered.  If it doesn't exist, it doesn't exist.

Second, to breed for it it is not enough that a marker for intelligence exists.
There have to be differentiable markers for a range of  intelligence.

Third, we have to be able to figure out which people have which markers.

now all successful animal breeding has followed these requirements.  A marker has
existed, we can tell which animals have it and it exists in a useful range.  I
agree that you don't have to know the details of how the gene works, but if you
don't have these beginnings you cant go anywhere.

> >Statistically, you'd be just as likely to get intelligent offspring by
> >breeding two dumb people together as breeding two smart people together,
> >assuming all environmental factors (early developmental nutrition, early
> >stimulation, access to education later) are equal.  And in optimized
> >breeding, that may be what you would have to do to get consistent geniuses.

> What you're doing is suggesting that a different type of breeding program
> might be the one that worked. As all I'm arguing is:

> A) intelligence is at least partly physical

as I noted before physical  means nothing.

running example "speaking french"

Speaking French is at least partly physical

> B) physical characteristics depend, to some extent on heredity

the trick is to show that variances are dependent on heredity, not the
characteristics.

B) the ability to speak French depends to some extent on heredity

> C) it is possible to construct breeding programs to improve inherited
> characteristics

only if they vary and you know who has which one.

> (I haven't commented on diminishing returns, but there
> obviously is some sort of limit. Man will not run the ten second mile.)

and man may equally share the exact same maximum physical capacity for
intelligence.

> D) a breeding program to improve intelligence is therefore possible

d) a breeding program to improve speaking French is therefore possible.

you cant conclude this unless the preconditions i've noted are satisfied.

> E) we haven't any idea how to go about making such a program (I tossed in
> some shots about possible negative consequences.)

As my example shows Speaking french depends on the inheritance of a vast and
complex mental apparatus.
however the truth fo that statement does nto mean that you can breed for the
ability to speak french.

Vince


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4.  Peter Skelton  
Ver perfil   Traduzir para Traduzido (ver original)
 Mais opções 1 maio 2000, 04:00
Grupos de notícias: sci.military.naval
De: skelt...@home.com (Peter Skelton)
Data: 2000/05/01
Assunto: Re: U-571: an America Travesty

It is both, as I've said. (The potential is a physical attribute, or set of
them.)

Perhaps we should read what he wrote. He is suggesting that we do not know
how. He is also describing an approach which works under certain
conditions. It is possible that there are other appraches for more
complicated conditions. I do not objecgt to this at all. That a simple
approach might work is another of those F*ng inteminable straw men you
erect.

>> >For something as complex as intelligence, its ludicrous to assert that it
>> >can be breeded for given our current understanding of the human genome, and
>> >"intelligence" in general.

>> What I've argued is that it is something that can be bred  ("breeded") for.

>You have argued it, you simply don't understand the preconditions necessary for
>breeding an inheritable trait.

You need a boy & a girl. It works every time.

Seriously Vince, your idea that the genetics need to be understood
completely before anything can be done flies in the face of most human
progress - practice usually leads theory (or at least proven theory).

>> I've stated that we don't know how, for the sort of reason you're going
>> into.

>No, we don't know whether it can be done.

Then perhaps you shouldn't be stating so flatly that it cannot be done.

>> One thing I'll point out is that practice generally is ahead of theory. The
>> steam engine preceded thermodynamics, we had antibiotics before we knew how
>> or why they worked. (Not always true - pasteurization)

>This is a different issue.  

Given that you are basing your case entirely on our lack of knowledge of
the underlying genetics, this is an astounding statement.

I just gave a presentation in Berlin on the

>Scientification of Empirical knowledge.   There are many cause effect
>relationships which we know to be "true" empirically, even if we don't know how
>they work scientifically.  We "act", and subsequently "effects" appear.  Now, did
>our acts cause the effects?  Would different acts cause different effects?
>Austin Bradford hill set a series of criteria for attempting to infer causality
>from correlation. they are a crude first step
>Now the connection to this debate is the series of steps needed to claim that you
>could breed for intelligence.
>now to breed for "intelligence" there must be a heritable genetic marker for
>intelligence.  

Absolute poppycock. There might be one marker for potential (it clearly is
not a case of one marker for intelligence). Intelligence is probably not a
simple trait. More likely, there are several simpler traits that improve
the potential for intelligence. Some of these will also be compound.

>Until we identify such a marker, we have know way of knowing
>whether it exists. All differences in intelligence may be environmental.  It does
>no good at all to simply claim that a marker for intelligence must  exist, but
>has not yet been discovered.  If it doesn't exist, it doesn't exist.

We don't need it to exist. We are already aware of markers that afffect the
potential for intelligence (negatively, they indicate succeptibility to
conditions). At the same time, an article you suggested I read reports a
relevant positive finding.

If we find that the potential for intelligence is partly inherited, it will
be the first physical characteristic we know of that is not.

>Second, to breed for it it is not enough that a marker for intelligence exists.
>There have to be differentiable markers for a range of  intelligence.

You are erecting a structure on a false premise.

>Third, we have to be able to figure out which people have which markers.

>now all successful animal breeding has followed these requirements.  A marker has
>existed, we can tell which animals have it and it exists in a useful range.  I
>agree that you don't have to know the details of how the gene works, but if you
>don't have these beginnings you cant go anywhere.

Most successful animal breeding preceeded our knowledge of these
requirements. In most cases, the marker has not been found. It would be
useful if you limited your reporting to facts.

>> >Statistically, you'd be just as likely to get intelligent offspring by
>> >breeding two dumb people together as breeding two smart people together,
>> >assuming all environmental factors (early developmental nutrition, early
>> >stimulation, access to education later) are equal.  And in optimized
>> >breeding, that may be what you would have to do to get consistent geniuses.

>> What you're doing is suggesting that a different type of breeding program
>> might be the one that worked. As all I'm arguing is:

>> A) intelligence is at least partly physical

>as I noted before physical  means nothing.

You noted it, have not proven it

<I snipped a bit about French here that I shouldn't have.>

>> B) physical characteristics depend, to some extent on heredity

>the trick is to show that variances are dependent on heredity, not the
>characteristics.

No. To show that the potentials varry.

>B) the ability to speak French depends to some extent on heredity

Does it? I have not seen that proven, although, for example, tone-deafness
makes acquiring a good accent in a second language difficult.

>> C) it is possible to construct breeding programs to improve inherited
>> characteristics

>only if they vary and you know who has which one.

All characteristics vary, even in identical twins. You don't need to know
who has which one, you need to know who produces which one in off-spring.

>> (I haven't commented on diminishing returns, but there
>> obviously is some sort of limit. Man will not run the ten second mile.)

>and man may equally share the exact same maximum physical capacity for
>intelligence.

Most unlikely, too many potential contributors are already known to varry.

>> D) a breeding program to improve intelligence is therefore possible

>d) a breeding program to improve speaking French is therefore possible.

Sure, to the extent that speaking is physical. Some people speak more
easily than others. I suppose one might breed for easy speaking (the French
part is a bit of sillyness but we could take it up - accent, intelligence
etc. break it down and go on).

>you cant conclude this unless the preconditions i've noted are satisfied.

The single marker is silly. The understand before progress is silly.

>> E) we haven't any idea how to go about making such a program (I tossed in
>> some shots about possible negative consequences.)

>As my example shows Speaking french depends on the inheritance of a vast and
>complex mental apparatus.
>however the truth fo that statement does nto mean that you can breed for the
>ability to speak french.

Actually, you can. You can breed for easy speaking. You can breed for
intelligence. There are probably other things you can breed for that help.
--
Peter Skelton

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5.  Peter Skelton  
Ver perfil   Traduzir para Traduzido (ver original)
 Mais opções 1 maio 2000, 04:00
Grupos de notícias: sci.military.naval
De: skelt...@home.com (Peter Skelton)
Data: 2000/05/01
Assunto: Re: U-571: an America Travesty
"Prof. Vincent Brannigan" <fire...@wam.umd.edu> wrote:

A potyential is not a capability fer chrissakes. Capability is something
you have, potential is something you might develop.

I grasp it just fine. The method he describes has a limitation.

> He is also describing an approach which works under certain
>> conditions. It is possible that there are other appraches for more
>> complicated conditions. I do not objecgt to this at all. That a simple
>> approach might work is another of those F*ng inteminable straw men you
>> erect.

>Do you have a single source showing anyone breeding for a complex
>polygenic characteristic?    

Certainly. Racehorses, cows for milk, there is more going on for complex
characteristics (or ones where we haven't done the analysis) than there is
for simple.

>> >> >For something as complex as intelligence, its ludicrous to assert that it
>> >> >can be breeded for given our current understanding of the human genome, and
>> >> >"intelligence" in general.

>> >> What I've argued is that it is something that can be bred  ("breeded") for.

>> >You have argued it, you simply don't understand the preconditions necessary for
>> >breeding an inheritable trait.

>> You need a boy & a girl. It works every time.

>necessary but not sufficient.   I assume that "breeding" and "Sexual
>reproduction" are not synonymous in the current debate.  

What you said was "breeding an inheritable trait." You get inheritable
traits every time you breed. Sometimes your language is so imprecise that
it is difficult to extract your meaning.

>> Seriously Vince, your idea that the genetics need to be understood
>> completely before anything can be done flies in the face of most human
>> progress - practice usually leads theory (or at least proven theory).

>In machinery yes.  that a function of Teleology.  When Binet invented
>what became the IQ test, it was a purely empirical method of identifying
>those children in Paris who needed supportive education.  It works very
>well for that purpose.   It was a huge jump to claim that IQ represents
>anything real, a bigger jump to claim that it is inherited and an
>incredibly huge jump to claim that not only is it inherited, but we can
>breed for it.  
>I don't know anyone who has made this last jump outside of some very
>dubious ultra right Eugenics types.  

Quick, play the Nazi card.

We beat this to death on the first cycle.

>FWIW even if "abnormality" can be bred out of a population by preventing
>the reproduction of those carrying a genetic disease, There is no
>evidence at all that other characteristics such as "intelligence" can be
>improved by "breeding"  

We're funding research aimed at repair. If we continue we'll get to the
argument that everybody has the highest possible intelligence, unless
something is wrong genetically, or the environment is imperfect. Then we
get into a discussion of whether dealing with those factors actually
improves intelligence by breeding. I do not believe this to be the
situation, but we have no way of knowing at present.

>> >> I've stated that we don't know how, for the sort of reason you're going
>> >> into.

>> >No, we don't know whether it can be done.

>> Then perhaps you shouldn't be stating so flatly that it cannot be done.

>we don't know it can be done, but we do know the preconditions for it.
>The two are not the same exercise.  

The preconditions you raise are not valid. All you've said is that, if we
can't relate a trait to a single marker we cannot breed for it. You're
saying that in the face of massive successful historical programs for which
we do not know whether a single marker is responsible or not.

I'm saying a program could start now. I'll say we know how to start it.
I've already said that it woiuld be silly and dangerous to do so.

>The problem with your argument is that there is no way to analyze it.
>Its like the cartoon with the scientists and the middle step is "and
>then a miracle occurs"  What you are suggesting is a religious faith.  

But the miracle has occured in the past with other complex factors. (And
we've produced the negative of the miracle in animals.)

>> >now to breed for "intelligence" there must be a heritable genetic marker for
>> >intelligence.

>> Absolute poppycock. There might be one marker for potential (it clearly is
>> not a case of one marker for intelligence). Intelligence is probably not a
>> simple trait. More likely, there are several simpler traits that improve
>> the potential for intelligence. Some of these will also be compound.

>you are simply describing a polygenic situation.  that is also a
>"marker"  thats why you use the term marker rather than a Gene.  

Yes, I am.

>From Britannica

<I snipped this rehash of stuff we both know>

<s>

In other words, the Britanica is taking the position I have on the nature
of intelligence.

>But there is simply no broad consensus on the issue of why the
>differences exist, and, again, it should be noted that the differences
>are based on IQ, not broadly defined intelligence.
>> If we find that the potential for intelligence is partly inherited, it will
>> be the first physical characteristic we know of that is not.

>Im not sure what this means.  

That is because you snipped the material it commented on.

(Everything inherited thing we know about varries. If we found out tomorrow
that intelligence doesn't, it will be a very new thing.)

>> >Second, to breed for it it is not enough that a marker for intelligence exists.
>> >There have to be differentiable markers for a range of  intelligence.

>> You are erecting a structure on a false premise.

>See above on polygenic.  

I read it, it did not attack my position at all. BTW, there are two
polygenetic situations to think
...

mais »


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